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Money management system #3 (Lot size management)

This is another approach to lot size management:

Abbreviation:
L - loss
W - win
1L - a loss of 1 lot
2W - a win of 2 lots and so on

Lot size management rules:

Rule #1. If you win your first trade in a series, you count it as a win and start a new series;

Rule #2. When you lose, you keep trading the same size until you hit a winner. After one win, you trade equal to the aggregate of the previous losses (example: after 4 losses at 1 lot followed by 1 win at 1 lot, you increase your trading size to the sum of the 4 losses - 4 lots in this example);

Rule #3. If you have a series of losses, one win, then another series of losses, you trade the size of your most recent bet multiplied by the length of the larger losing streak;

(Example 1: after 2 losses at 1 lot, 1 win at 1 lot, 3 losses at 2 lots, and 1 win at 2 lots, you are now betting at 6 lots (3 losses by 2 lots);

Example 2: after 3 losses at 1 lot, 1 win at 1 lot, and 2 losses at two lots, you would trade 6 lots since the current bet size is 2 and the largest losing streak is 3)

A natural result of this system is that there are circumstances where the trader will be breakeven before two consecutive wins. This happens when a second win is achieved within the number of trades equal to the largest losing streak of the series. Example: L L L L W L L W would actually result in a breakeven case.

Again, the biggest danger is a large amount of losses with intermittent wins that aren't consecutive. Example: L L L L W L L L L L L L W translates to trading at 28 lots (streak of 7 losses multiplied by the current trade size of 4) per trade following that second win. Add two losses to this example and you're down 56 lots and still looking for two consecutive wins.
...On the other hand, if a trading system brings so many losers and so little winners, may be it is time to change the system... :)

Happy trading!


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this is a recipe for disaster................................

Did you say disaster? I'll say this is a recipe for catastrophy, waiting to happen! Pls, kindly remove this post for God's sake.

Possibly for some it will be, but for others, who knows... there is a rational seed in it.
If your system brings you only losing trades, say, 5 losing trades or, even worse, 10 losing trades in a row, you'll be getting rich no sooner be it with or without this money management technique.

As I see it, we can use this system at least while scalping - risks there are pretty small to stop worrying about margins. If a scalper pulls out profitable trades most of the time (which good scalpers do), he can use this system with a happy outcome. I see no disaster from this point, sorry.

Rich

my take on this is. This will deplete you capital faster than you can replenish it. I think if you have more than 3 consecutive losses you should stop trading for that session. Go for a walk or something, come back and start fresh.

A Waste of web space.

Mike

Actually, the author left out a bit on the title. It should be:

Money management system #3 (Lot size management - WHAT NOT TO DO"

bullshit management

This is a terrible strategy and is complete and utter non-sense.

Please goto wikipedia and lookup the 'kelly criterion'. All you do is bet the percentage of your total bankroll that the kelly criterion says. If you follow this non-sense you WILL eventually bust out.

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