Advanced strategy #10 (Trend Line Trading Strategy)
Submitted by Edward Revy on October 4, 2008 - 08:30.
A truly great work has been done by Myronn, the author of the current Trend Line Trading Strategy.
Support-resistance trading, trend line trading, checking higher time frames, money management — the strategy has a concrete-like theory base and a simple implementation — a winning combination, that places it into the category of advanced strategies.
Remember, your feedback, comments and suggestions are always in great demand!
Edward Revy
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ONE MORE BREAK? ANOTHER WEDGE ON EUR. REMEMBER GBP DROPPED 100 PTS AND EUR 300 ON THE LAST ONE. THE BIGGER THE WEDGE, THE BIGGER THE BOUNCE. IT'S A SPRING, BEING WOUND TIGHTER. MONDAY, SHOULD EXPLODE.
Myronn
Also, I have been busy doing something I have never done successfully before, which is what I call scalping. Attached is the 5M chart of EUR for today Nov 17. I noticed one night sitting with my laptop in front of the TV (Tokyo session) that even though I thought JPY was choppy, that the 5M showed what I call ladders, of retrace and extension and it was very orderly. If you bought at the trendline there was very little in the way of Neg Excursion. I don't like JPY, so I went to look at others to see if it was just JPY or others too.
So here is the Euro. I trade with the latest 5M trend and let it start to retrace before I exit, the reason being it may break out. I missed the L break at 18:45 but not the one this afternoon (don't let the times confuse you, it's the server time, not mine). That was just luck though. I exited on the big red down candle and the very next one went back up so I entered S again. Seeing as how I was still in profit I let it go cuz I thought what the heck, it's w/ the trend and is going back down again. Also it's w/ the big trend . .. .
of course, I wish i had let it go, but when it started going up I exited it, w/ about 40 pts. In the future I think I will trade this TF more often. The lower 'ladder had swings of 35 pts, the upper 20 -25.. Count the number of trades here just today.
Usually I don't trade mondays, but I'm glad I did today.
Don't take it personally Myronn, but I have been busy trading the opposite than you. Ha ha.
Check out
www dot learncurrencytrading (dot)com/fxforum/trend-line-trading. It's the dailyfx dot com forum. I am Blizzard.
There have been a few big trendline breaks lately.
The thing i like about your strat is that either you are right or wrong, no middle ground. Either it breaks and you reverse or it holds. Either way, it's like a line in the sand.
Keep up the good work Myronn.
G
Hi Myronn
Could you update us on this weeks performance? How much have you been able to make?
Thanks
Burt
U can find the zigzag indicator on IG market by clicking on TOOL, select the option for REAL-TIME CHARTS, when the charts open select INDICATOR/BACKTEST on the chart menu which then brings up a list of indicators, the zigzag ind. is right at the bottom of the list.
Thanks mate
was already using it for major trends.
didn't even look to see if there was a variation adjustment.
Doh!
sometimes we just can't see for looking
appreciate the post
cheers
debono
to the block from wa there is a zigzag indicator on IG markets in the advanced charts.
Cheers Myronn you're padding my wallet too.
i am really grateful for the quality strategies that abounds in this site. this one by Myronn particularly excites me and gives me great confidence when taking a position ....i must admit however that i am struggling with calculating lot size(with respect to my mm rules) each time i have to place a trade...can anyone help?
Thank you Myronn, Edward - you're great, and to Grant - ur contributions has really helped me. thanks to you all.
IVYXXX
Hi Joe & Debono,
with regard to your question Joe, yes, I opened a 5k account for standard lots. The number of lots/lot sizes I trade depends on my risk % that I use that is 5%.
No, not from WA, Debona, but NSW. I think I have to agree with you here Debono, I have discovered the same thing here regarding letting profits run just like you have, but I think when you are in profit & you get into the mode "let your profits run", I think the best practice is to lock in a certain amount of profit that you are happy with no matter what happens, and as price continue to move in your favor and forms new swing highs/lows, move stop loss to those swings depending on which direction you have traded. Do IG have meta trader trading Platform because this indicator is metatrader4 indicator? If you are having difficulty, contact me at my email address myronn_s (at) yahoo.com and I will send u the indicator. As I said in my previous post, you really dont need this indicator becasue when you look at the price on any chart, you can identify swing highs & swing lows and these form the basis to draw the trendlines. You connect singnificant swing highs in a downtrend & connect significant swing lows in an uptrend
Take it easy guys
Regards
Myronn
Myronn
your a champ...assuming your are from W.A? not one of those wise men from the east :)
Every trading book I have read tells you to let profits run and I have to admit that when taking set pip profits I tripled my account in 2 weeks of careful trading. Then greed also got me...let the profits run they cry...oops.
I was simply trading support/resistance and triangle breaks. New it was too easy to be true.
Still not bad but not enough rules in my strategy to protect profits.
I use IG here and they do not have the swing zz indicator...do you know if this can be applied?
I have tried to download links from yours and Edwards posts but to no avail.
ps...this is a very good site guys...congrats Edward
debono
hi Myronn.
you said you started off with a 5000$ a/c. i would like to know if you opened a mini a/c of lots 10K, or a standard a/c of lots 100K. am asking because your results got me wondering.....15K dollars in a month or so?
anyway, if it is a mini a/c, how many lots do you buy or sell in your trades?
joegathu
Hi Cody,
(1) understanding the concept of a trend: uptrend=higher swing highs & higher swing lows & downtrend=lower sing highs & lower swing lows makes it easier to draw a trendline. all you do is connecting significant swing highs/lows.
(2) when a tredline is broken significantly, the may signify a change in trend OR just another swing high/low formed but will head back in the previous direction. since that trendline is violated, you need to adjust your trendline to what "new" info you have now.
(3)If you have read, Grant's explanation previously about FRACTALS, this is the same thing here:minor trends within the main trend. what you see in the smaller timeframe is a minature representation in the larger timeframes. Yes, I do trade in the minor trends within the 1hr. I use 30& 15min minor trends & for entry, I swith to 5min TF.
(4) When a triangle formation is happening, that is two trendlines convergin together, I place trade in the direction of the MAIN TREND because I have observed that is what seems to happen most of the time. but if I am unsure of what direction, I stay out.
(5)You can enter at point 3, and any other swing highs/lows that form after point 3. But If you really want to ensure confidence in you entry at these points, it would really pay to have some good understanding of candlestick formations as well as a good understanding of the major fib levels. Yes, the market will go wherever it pleases and sooner or later the trendline will be broken after being "tested" many times in the past.
Hi Myronn,
Thank for your sharing. I find that it's not easy to drawing good trendline sometimes. Any rule should we need to follow??
1. How could we draw a valid and accurate trendline?
2. When should we adjust the trendline if price breakout the trendline?
3. Sometimes, there may exist main trendline and minor trendline in 1 hour graph, will you trade in minor trendline?
4. Sometimes, there may have upward and downward trendline at the same time (say triangle pattern), how to determine long or short?
5. In general, should we always waiting point 3 to entry? I found that the probability that trend will be reversed if more points touch the trendline. Is it true?
Regards,
Cody
Hi Cody,
good to hear what you have done. Keep it up.
Regards
Myronn
Hello all,
I have attached 2 charts showing a little tip on trade entry that I use.
The first chart shows entry in the 1hr timeframe (TF) and that would have provided only 2 valid short entries at point 3 & 4. The second chart shows the same pair in 15min TF and that shows 3 valid short entries at (3), 3, 4. See charts for details.
Hope you find this useful.
Regards
Myronn
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